What is Inflation and Why Does It Matter?
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises over time, subsequently reducing the purchasing power of currency. In simpler terms, inflation means your money buys less tomorrow than it does today. Understanding inflation is crucial for anyone making financial decisions, from daily budgeting to long-term investment planning.
How Inflation Affects Your Money
When inflation runs at 6% annually, which has been roughly India's average over the past decade, the purchasing power of Rs. 1 lakh today will shrink to approximately Rs. 55,839 in 10 years. This means if a car costs Rs. 10 lakhs today, the same model might cost Rs. 17.9 lakhs after 10 years at 6% inflation.
Current Inflation Scenario in India (2026)
India's retail inflation, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), has historically fluctuated between 4-7% in recent years. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) targets a medium-term inflation rate of 4% with a tolerance band of +/- 2%. However, different product categories experience varying inflation rates:
- Food & Beverages: Often experiences higher inflation (5-8%), significantly impacting household budgets
- Healthcare: Medical costs in India have been rising at 10-15% annually
- Education: School and college fees tend to increase by 8-12% per year
- Housing: Rental and property costs vary by city but typically rise 5-10% annually
- Fuel: Highly volatile, influenced by global crude oil prices and taxation policies
Real vs. Nominal Returns
When evaluating investments, it's essential to distinguish between nominal returns and real returns. Nominal return is the stated return on an investment, while real return adjusts for inflation:
Real Return = Nominal Return - Inflation Rate
For example, if your Fixed Deposit offers 6.5% interest but inflation is running at 6%, your real return is only 0.5%. This modest real return explains why financial advisors recommend diversifying into equity, real estate, and other asset classes that historically outpace inflation over long periods.